2025年4月中国中东部极端雨雪大风天气特征及成因分析

Characteristics and mechanisms of the April 2025 extreme rain, snow, and gales weather event in central-eastern China

  • 摘要: 2025年4月11—13日中国中东部遭遇大范围极端雨雪大风降温天气,探究其特征和成因意义重大。基于常规观测数据和欧洲中期天气预报中心(European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, ERA-5)再分析数据等资料分析表明:冷锋过境引发内蒙古至华北的大风并迅速南扩至江淮,午后形成风速峰值及最大降温。南支急流与具有强气旋性曲率的北支急流在蒙古高原上空耦合且稳定少变,形成强次级环流圈,是此次极端大风的核心动力机制。北支急流通过高位涡空气沿等熵面下传至平流层中层,进一步强化动能和斜压能下传输送。蒙古气旋进入中国东北地区滞留,蒙古高原中部的反气旋南下,水平气压梯度剧增,是大风产生和维持的直接原因。边界层内湍流活动白天受地表加热主导,夜间稳定层结抑制下传,强化偏北低空急流和风垂直切变,通过开尔文-亥姆霍兹不稳定促进湍流混合,维持夜间大风。北大西洋涛动(North Atlantic Oscillation,NAO)7—11日位相由负转正,触发更高效罗斯贝波能量传播,南支波列沿急流轴东传,北支波列经冰岛—巴伦支海—贝加尔湖延伸,巴伦支海异常低压与西伯利亚高压共同引导高纬度冷空气南下。12日两支波列在华北叠加,为高空冷涡和急流维持提供背景能量。此外,8日快速移至巴伦支海上空的低压引发近地表温度和湿度降低、风速显著增强,海气温差显著增大,结冰加速,释放强烈的向上感热和潜热通量,构成正反馈机制,驱动罗斯贝波能量向下游频散。

     

    Abstract: Based on conventional observations and ERA5 reanalysis data, this study analyzes an extreme weather event featuring widespread rain, snow, gales, and temperature drop across central-eastern China during 11—13 April 2025. The cold front passage triggered gales that spread southward from Inner Mongolia to North China and rapidly extended to Jianghuai region, with peak wind speeds and the maximum temperature drop occurring in the afternoon. The southern branch of the jet stream coupled with the northern branch that was characterized by strong cyclonic curvature over the Mongolian plateau. These two stable, quasi-stationary jet branches formed a robust secondary circulation cell, which served as the core dynamic driver for the extreme gales. The northern branch of the jet stream facilitated the downward intrusion of the high-PV (Potential Vorticity) air to the mid-stratosphere along isentropic surfaces, further enhancing downward transport of kinetic and baroclinic energy. The Mongolian cyclone remained stationary over Northeast China, while the anticyclone over central Mongolia moved southward, leading to dramatic increases in horizontal pressure gradient and directly triggering and sustaining the gales. Within the boundary layer, turbulent activities were dominated by surface heating during the daytime. In the nighttime, the stable stratification inhibited downward transport, strengthening the low-level northerly jet and vertical wind shear. This promoted turbulent mixing via Kelvin-Helmholtz instability and thus sustained nocturnal gales. The phase shift in the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) from negative to positive during 7—11 April triggered more efficient Rossby wave energy propagation. The southern branch wave train propagated eastward along the jet axis, while the northern branch wave train extended via Iceland–the Barents Sea–Lake Baikal. The anomalous low over the Barents Sea, cooperating with the Siberian High, guided high-latitude cold air to move southward. On 12 April, the superposition of these two wave trains over North China provided the background energy for the maintenance of the upper-level cold vortex and jet stream. Furthermore, a rapidly moving low pressure system over the Barents Sea on the 8th induced significant reductions in near-surface temperature and humidity along with markedly increased wind speed. This led to a substantial increase in the sea-air temperature difference, accelerating sea-ice formation and the release of strong upward sensible and latent heat fluxes. They constituted a positive feedback mechanism, driving the downstream propagation of Rossby wave energy.

     

/

返回文章
返回