基于多源资料的京津冀地区夏季极端湿热事件精细气候特征分析

Refined Characteristics of Summer Extreme Humid-Heat Events in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region Based on Multi-Source Datasets

  • 摘要:
    目的 京津冀地区人口密集、产业复杂,是我国政治与北方经济核心区域。气候变暖背景下,夏季极端湿热事件频发,严重威胁居民生活与社会运行。资料和方法 本研究基于2016—2023年国家级气象观测站、区域自动气象站及中国气象局陆面数据同化系统(CLDAS)资料,对比分析了不同数据对京津冀地区夏季“日间型”和“夜间型”极端湿热事件精细时空特征的刻画能力。
    结果 结果表明,国家站、区域站和CLDAS资料所反映的京津冀地区气温和相对湿度的气候年循环特征较为一致,说明不同资料的温湿数据在该地区具有较好的可用性。但三套资料所刻画的两类极端湿热事件频次、强度及季节内发生概率存在差异。
    结论 进一步研究表明,三套资料对京津冀极端湿热事件的刻画差异与地形下垫面特征有关。对于“日间型”事件,城市和平原区域站记录的频次和强度显著高于国家站和CLDAS资料,而在山地区域差异较小。对于“夜间型”事件,资料间的差异在城市与山地区域更为突出(CLDAS表现出最显著的偏低特征),在平原区域的一致性则相对较好。考虑到大多数国家站位于城市地区,因此资料间的差异能够间接反映城市化对区域极端湿热事件的气候影响。

     

    Abstract:
    Objectives As China’s political center and the economic hub of the north, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region features a dense population and a complex industrial structure. Driven by global warming, summer extreme humid-heat events in this region have become increasingly frequent. These events severely disrupt daily life and economic activity, raising significant public concern. Data and Methods This study evaluates the ability of various datasets to capture the fine spatiotemporal characteristics of daytime and nighttime extreme humid-heat events. The analysis utilizes data from 2016 to 2023 derived from national meteorological stations, regional automatic weather stations, and the China Meteorological Administration Land Data Assimilation System (CLDAS).
    Results The results show high consistency across the three datasets regarding the annual climatic cycles of temperature and relative humidity, confirming the general reliability of this data for the region. However, discrepancies exist regarding the frequency, intensity, and intraseasonal probability of extreme humid-heat events.
    Conclusions  Further analysis reveals that these differences are closely linked to underlying terrain and surface features. For daytime events, regional stations in urban and plain areas record notably higher frequencies and intensities than both national stations and CLDAS, whereas the differences remain minor in mountainous regions. For nighttime events, discrepancies among the datasets are more prominent in urban and mountainous areas (with CLDAS exhibiting the most significant underestimation), whereas data consistency in plain areas is relatively better. Given that most national stations are located in urban areas, these discrepancies indirectly reflect the climatic impact of urbanization on regional extreme humid-heat events.

     

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