张学珍,刘欣睿,严建武,丁娜娜. 2022. 中亚费尔干纳盆地灌溉气候效应的数值模拟研究. 气象学报,80(5):819-834. DOI: 10.11676/qxxb2022.056
引用本文: 张学珍,刘欣睿,严建武,丁娜娜. 2022. 中亚费尔干纳盆地灌溉气候效应的数值模拟研究. 气象学报,80(5):819-834. DOI: 10.11676/qxxb2022.056
Zhang Xuezhen, Liu Xinrui, Yan Jianwu, Ding Nana. 2022. A numerical study for climatic effects of irrigation in the Fergana basin,Central Asia. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 80(5):819-834. DOI: 10.11676/qxxb2022.056
Citation: Zhang Xuezhen, Liu Xinrui, Yan Jianwu, Ding Nana. 2022. A numerical study for climatic effects of irrigation in the Fergana basin,Central Asia. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 80(5):819-834. DOI: 10.11676/qxxb2022.056

中亚费尔干纳盆地灌溉气候效应的数值模拟研究

A numerical study for climatic effects of irrigation in the Fergana basin,Central Asia

  • 摘要: 中亚地处干旱气候区,农业生产高度依赖灌溉,然而灌溉对当地气候影响的认识还较为薄弱。为此,针对多雨(2009年)、少雨(2008年)及正常(2007年)年景下中亚典型农业区—费尔干纳盆地暖季(5—9月)的气候,利用嵌入灌溉过程参数化方案并更新土壤参数的WRF模式,分别进行了考虑灌溉过程(称为IRRG试验)与不考虑灌溉过程(称为NATU试验)的模拟试验,并通过对比IRRG与NATU试验之差揭示了灌溉对区域气候的影响。研究发现:(1)灌溉致使暖季地面潜热增加(79.2 W/m2)、感热减少(−61.3 W/m2),日均气温降低1.7℃,空气比湿升高2 g/kg(约为NATU的36%),因5—6月为雨季,7—8月为旱季,故7—8月的灌溉量大,冷湿效应略强于5—6月;(2)冷湿效应主要出现在灌溉区域,降温达2℃,增湿达2.4 g/kg,灌区外甚微,同时从地面到高层大气,冷湿效应越来越弱,在约500 hPa(距地面约4000 m)以上冷湿效应消失;(3)在盆地中央平原地区,因灌溉而致空气湿度上升产生的潜在增雨效应与地面冷却产生的对流抑制作用相互抵消,灌溉与无灌溉情景下当地降水无显著差异;灌溉可导致盆地南、北两侧山区降水增加(约0.6 mm/d);(4)不同年景之间灌溉量差异主要出现在5—6月,少雨年比多雨年灌溉量多20 mm/月,日均气温降幅偏大0.3℃,空气比湿增幅偏大0.5 g/kg,但山区降水增幅偏小0.6 mm/d。

     

    Abstract: Central Asia is located in the arid climate zone and agricultural production is highly dependent on irrigation. However, the effects of irrigation on local climate remain unclear. The effects of irrigation on warm season (May—September) climate in the Fergana basin are studied using the Weather Research and Forecast model (WRF), in which an irrigation parameterization scheme is implemented and soil data are also updated. A pair of simulations, i.e., the IRRG that includes irrigation and the NATU that excludes irrigation, are carried out for the years of above normal rainfall (i.e. 2009), below normal rainfall (i.e. 2008) and normal rainfall year (i.e. 2007), respectively. The climatic effects of irrigation are then studied by comparing the IRRG and NATU simulations. The results are as follows: (1) Irrigation leads to an average increase in surface latent heat flux (79.2 W/m2) and an average decrease in surface sensible heat flux (−61.3 W/m2). As a result, daily mean temperature cools by 1.7℃ and specific humidity increases by 2 g/kg (accounting for about 36% of NATU) in the warm season. Since May to June is rainy season and July to August is dry season, the irrigation demand from July to August is larger than that from May to June. Thereby, the cooling and wetting effects of irrigation are also larger from July to August. (2) The cooling and wetting effects mainly exist in the irrigation area with cooling of 2℃ and specific humidity increment of 2.4 g/kg, while they are too weak to be detected beyond the irrigation area. Meanwhile, from the ground to the upper atmosphere, the cooling and wetting effects gradually weaken and cannot be detected above the pressure level of 500 hPa (about 4000 m above the ground). (3) In the central plain of the basin, the potential rainy effect caused by air humidity increment and the potential rainless effect caused by convective inhibition offset each other. As a result, local precipitation shows no detectable differences between the IRRG and NATU simulations. However, irrigation lead to precipitation increment (~0.6 mm/d) in remote areas over the northern and southern mountains surrounding the basin. (4) Differences in irrigation demand and their effects on local climate under different climate backgrounds mainly exist in May to June. The irrigation demand in 2008 is more than that in 2009 by 20 mm per month. Consequently, the cooling effect is stronger by 0.3℃ and the wetting effect is stronger by 0.5 g/kg in 2008 than those in 2009. Meanwhile, the rainy effect is weaker in 2008 than that in 2009 by 0.6 mm/d.

     

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