科技强国气象指标体系的设计与初步应用

An indicator system for evaluating the powerhouse of meteorological science and technology: Design and preliminary application

  • 摘要: 2024年中国气象局提出气象事业“在科技强国建设中走在前”的战略目标,并作出系统性工作部署。构建明确的科技强国气象指标体系、优化科技创新机制,已成为引领气象事业发展的迫切需求。本文通过分析气象科技国际发展态势,遵循科学性、系统性、代表性、可比性、可操作性原则,综合借鉴我国在科学强国理论和空间科学等领域的最新成果,紧扣气象事业“监测精密、预报精准、服务精细”的技术导向,从“基础研究与原始创新”、“关键核心技术攻关”、“国际影响力与引领能力”、“高层次科技人才培养与集聚”以及“科技治理体系与能力”五个维度,构建了一套科技强国气象指标体系。通过对中国、美国和欧洲的应用验证表明,该指标体系能够客观、有效地反映全球主要气象科技力量的科技创新能力,具有较好的科学性和应用潜力。同时,该指标体系能够识别当前我国气象科技发展的优势与薄弱环节,为凝聚力量统筹推动气象高质量发展提供量化依据,并为气象领域力争早日实现科技强国目标提供战略参考。

     

    Abstract: In 2024, the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) set up a strategic objective—to build a global science and technology (S&T) powerhouse in meteorology—and since then a series of related initiatives has been launched. To guide the high-quality development of the meteorological enterprise, this strategic objective highlights an urgent need for a clear indicator system to assess meteorological S&T capacity and to optimize innovation stimulating mechanisms. By analyzing international trends and integrating the recent achievements in S&T powerhouse theories in fields such as space science in China, this study constructs a comprehensive indicator system based on scientific rigor, systematicity, representativeness, comparability, and operability. The system is structured across five dimensions, including “basic research and original innovation”, “breakthroughs in key core technologies”, “international influence and leadership”, “cultivation and aggregation of high-level talent”, and “S&T governance systems and capabilities”, in alignment with the CMA mission of “precise monitoring, accurate forecasting, and refined services”. The validity of this system is evaluated through a comparative analysis of the meteorological S&T capabilities of China, Europe, and the United States. Preliminary results indicate that the proposed indicator system effectively reflects the S&T innovation capacities of major global meteorological players, demonstrating significant application potential. Furthermore, it helps identify the current strengths and weaknesses in China’s meteorological S&T development. This provides a basis for concentrating efforts on high-quality development and offers a strategic reference for achieving the goal of becoming a meteorological S&T powerhouse at an early stage.

     

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