冬季双偏振雷达水凝物相态识别方法优化研究

A study on the optimization of wintertime dual-polarization radar hydrometeor classification method

  • 摘要: 冬季降水过程中融化层高度低、变化快且空间分布不均匀,导致传统双偏振雷达水凝物相态识别算法在雨雪转换区域识别精度明显下降。本研究使用2023年7月—2024年7月中国115部双偏振雷达观测数据和116个探空站垂直廓线资料,采用探空时空匹配优化、QVP(quasi-vertical profile)实时平均融化层监测和三维MLDA(melting layer detection algorithm)空间精细化识别相结合的改进方案,从改善融化层时空定位精度以及算法的区域适用性2方面展开研究,以提升不同相态类型区分。改进方案有效解决了冬季融化层快速变化和空间不均匀问题,将融化层监测时间分辨率从6—12 h提升至6 min,实现了距离1 km、高度0.1 km、方位角1°的三维空间精细化识别。南京周边7部雷达冬季数据敏感性试验表明,改进方案准确识别了雨雪分界线,相态总体识别准确率提升11.91个百分点,雨雪混合相识别准确率提升超过50个百分点。与地面天气现象仪对比验证表明,100 km范围内近地面识别准确率超过77%。全国115部雷达冬季算法应用时长统计显示,东北、华北、华中等地区平原站点以及高山站点的冬季算法年切换占比达18%—51%,改进方案为冬季双偏振雷达水凝物相态识别提供了有效技术途径。

     

    Abstract: Melting layers (ML) during winter precipitation events—characterized by low-altitude, high temporal variability and spatially heterogeneous melting—pose significant challenges to conventional dual-polarization radar hydrometeor classification algorithms (HCAs), resulting in substantially degraded performance in rain-snow transition regions. To address these challenges, we develop an improved HCA scheme using data from 115 dual-polarization radars and vertical profiles from 116 radiosonde stations across China (July 2023—July 2024). The scheme integrates three key components: Optimized spatiotemporal matching with radiosonde observations, real-time ML monitoring through quasi-vertical profile (QVP) analysis, and three-dimensional ML identification using the melting layer detection algorithm (MLDA). These improvements enhance both spatiotemporal precision of ML detection and regional applicability of HCA, ultimately improving the discrimination between various hydrometeor types. The improved scheme effectively resolves issues related to rapid ML variability and spatial heterogeneity in winter, reducing the ML detection update interval from 6—12 h to 6 min and achieving spatial resolution of 1 km in range, 0.1 km in altitude, and 1° in azimuth. Sensitivity experiments using wintertime datasets from seven radars around Nanjing demonstrate that the improved scheme can accurately identify the rain-snow boundary, increasing overall classification accuracy by 11.91% and mixed-phase precipitation accuracy by over 50%. Validation against Present Weather Sensor (PWS) observations confirms that the near-surface classification accuracy exceeds 77% within 100 km. Statistics on winter algorithm activation periods from 115 radars nationwide reveal that the winter-specific algorithm operates for 18%—51% of the year at plain sites in Northeast, North, and Central China, as well as at high-altitude mountain sites, confirming the effectiveness of the improved scheme for wintertime dual-polarization radar hydrometeor classification.

     

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