基于MLP神经网络的微波成像仪陆面亮温模拟模型构建和初步评估

Development and preliminary evaluation of a land surface brightness temperature simulation model for microwave radiometer based on MLP neural network

  • 摘要: 陆面辐射亮温资料直接同化研究中,作为观测算子的常规快速辐射传输模式往往需要大量辅助信息,但陆表参数复杂多变容易导致辅助信息存在较大误差,严重降低亮温模拟精度,进而影响同化效果。为了进一步提高FY-3D微波成像仪(Microwave Radiation Imager,MWRI)辐射亮温陆面直接同化效果,在伴随敏感性分析明确常规辐射传输模式模拟误差主要来源的基础上,研究尝试构建一种基于多层感知器(multi-layer perceptron,MLP),不显式包含地表发射率的同化观测算子。针对地表辐射时空变化复杂的特点,通过分地表类型、昼夜和季节独立建模策略,降低数据自由度,进一步提高同化观测算子精度。评估结果表明,MLP算子模拟精度在多数地表类型下均显著优于RTTOV(radiative transfer for TOVS)模式。夏季裸地(barren)区域改进最为显著,平均绝对误差(MAE)由7.297 降至4.021 K,下降达44.9%,均方根误差(RMSE)由9.029 降至5.721  K,下降幅度为36.6%。此外,在草地(grasslands)和阔叶林(broadleaf forest)区域也分别实现了38.6%与37.3%的MAE改进。MLP算子在白天条件下的模拟精度提升最为显著,而在夜间条件下,MLP表现仍具有优势,但误差改进幅度相对较小。分季节建模方法保障了MLP算子对不同季节亮温模拟都有显著改进效果,尤其是秋季改进最为明显,不同植被类型下的RMSE均可减少4.0 K左右。引入沙普利加和解释(shapley additive explanations,SHAP)方法的量化分析结果证明,MLP算子能够有效再现陆面辐射的物理机制,具有很好的实际应用前景。

     

    Abstract: In the research on direct assimilation of land surface brightness temperature data, conventional radiative transfer models (RTMs) used as observation operators often require extensive auxiliary information. However, the complexity and spatiotemporal variability of land surface parameters can easily lead to significant errors in auxiliary data, which severely degrade the accuracy of brightness temperature simulations and affect assimilation performance. To enhance the effect of direct assimilation of observations from the Microwave Radiation Imager (MWRI) aboard the FY-3D satellite into land surface models, this study develops a data-driven observation operator based on the multi-layer perceptron (MLP) architecture, which obviates the explicit parameterization of surface emissivity. This operator is grounded in adjoint sensitivity analysis, which identifies primary sources of simulation errors in conventional RTMs. Given the complex spatiotemporal variability of land surface radiation, a modeling strategy with independent models for different surface types, day/night conditions, and seasons is adopted to reduce data dimensionality and further enhances the accuracy of the observation assimilation operator. Evaluation results demonstrate that the MLP operator significantly outperforms the radiative transfer for TOVS (RTTOV) model in brightness temperature simulation across most surface types. The most remarkable improvement is achieved over barren areas in summer: the mean absolute error (MAE) decreases from 7.297 to 4.021 K (a reduction of 44.9%), and the root mean square error (RMSE) declines from 9.029 to 5.721 K (a reduction of 36.6%). Additionally, MAE improvements of 38.6% and 37.3% are observed over grasslands and broadleaf forests, respectively. The MLP operator exhibits the most significant accuracy enhancement under daytime conditions, while it still maintains an advantage at night, the magnitude of error reduction is relatively smaller. The season-specific modeling approach ensures that the MLP operator achieves substantial improvements in brightness temperature simulation across all seasons, with the most notable gains in autumn—RMSE reductions of approximately 4.0 K are observed for various vegetation types. Quantitative analysis using the shapley additive explanations (SHAP) method confirms that the MLP operator can effectively replicate the physical mechanisms of land surface radiation, highlighting its promising potential for practical applications.

     

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