温跃层结构对赤道太平洋ENSO强度非对称性的区域调制作用

The modulation effect of thermocline structure on the ENSO amplitude asymmetry in different regions of the equatorial Pacific

  • 摘要: 基于次表层海温参数化理论框架和经典的Zebiak-Cane (ZC)模式,利用1980—2015年美国马里兰大学提供的月平均海洋同化数据及英国哈得来中心提供的逐月海表温度数据,从赤道太平洋次表层出发,研究次表层海温(Tsub)及其关键影响因子在ENSO强度非对称性中的作用,探讨东太平洋及中、西太平洋的不同物理机制,并在ZC模式中验证。结果表明,ENSO强度非对称性是从海表到次表层的整体现象,呈东正西负的分布格局,主要来源为温跃层结构对纬向风应力(τ)的非对称响应,但在东、西太平洋表现有所不同。在赤道东太平洋,正的非对称性来源于温跃层深度(h)和温跃层锐度(h*)的共同变化,暖位相下更强的τ正异常带来更强的h正异常和h*负异常,由此产生更强的Tsub正异常。在赤道中、西太平洋,负的非对称性则主要来源于h*的变化,冷位相下更弱的τ负异常反而带来更强的h*正异常,由此产生更强的Tsub负异常。由于西太平洋h较混合层偏深,因此τ异常带来的西太平洋h异常并不能产生明显的Tsub异常。总体而言,h*对τ的非对称响应是赤道中、西太平洋ENSO负非对称性的主要原因。通过将次表层海温参数化方案替换为h*一级近似的新方案,ZC模式对ENSO强度非对称性的模拟得到了明显改进。

     

    Abstract: Based on the subsurface temperature parameterization theoretical framework and the Zebiak-Cane (ZC) model, using the monthly reanalysis of Phase 3.3.1 of the Simple Ocean Data Assimilation provided by the US University of Maryland and the monthly sea surface temperature dataset from the Hadley Center for the 1980—2015 period, the role of subsurface temperature (Tsub) and its key controlling factors in the ENSO amplitude asymmetry are investigated, with a focus on contrasting mechanisms across the eastern and central-western equatorial Pacific. It is find that the asymmetry extends from the surface to the subsurface and exhibits a dipole structure of "positive in the east and negative in the west". This dipole primarily arises from asymmetric subsurface responses to zonal wind stress (τ), but the dominant mechanisms differ across the equatorial Pacific. In the eastern equatorial Pacific, the positive asymmetry results from combined changes in thermocline depth (h) and thermocline sharpness (h*). The stronger positive τ′ during the warm phase produces larger positive h′ and negative h*′, leading to enhanced positive T'_\rmsub . In the central-western Pacific, the negative asymmetry is mainly controlled by h*. The weaker negative τ′ during the cold phase actually induces stronger positive h*′, which generates stronger negative T'_\rmsub . Whereas h′ contributes little in the western Pacific because the mean thermocline is much deeper than the mixed-layer depth. Overall, the asymmetric response of h* to τ is the primary driver of the negative ENSO amplitude asymmetry in the central-western equatorial Pacific. By replacing the Tsub parameterization with a new scheme based on the h* first-order approximation, the simulation of ENSO amplitude asymmetry in ZC model has been significantly improved.

     

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