小雷达在解决大雷达远距离探测区域降水估测问题中应用研究

Application of small radar in addressing precipitation estimation challenges in long-range detection areas of large radar

  • 摘要: S波段双偏振(大)雷达由于波长较长电磁波衰减较轻,是定量估测大范围降水的主要设备。然而,由于扫描方式、地球曲率、地形遮挡等因素影响,在远距离探测时波束中心过高甚至被遮挡,导致该区域降水被明显低估。X波段双偏振(小)雷达的布设为解决这一问题提供了可能。本文通过X波段雷达在低空探测的优势,提出一种改进S波段双偏振雷达数据质量的方法,旨在解决大雷达远距离降水估测的低估问题。利用广东9部X波段双偏振相控阵雷达和河源S波段双偏振雷达观测的6次降水过程进行试验,验证了方法的科学有效性。结果表明:在远距离探测区域,算法能够明显减轻大雷达的低估,且比任一单波段(S或X)雷达降水估测效果都好,能使误差至少降低14.27%。算法对中、小雨估测的主要改善是减小了平均误差;对大到暴雨,算法明显改善了单波段雷达估测降水的严重低估,对大雨(小时雨量30—50 mm)和暴雨(小时雨量>50 mm)的估测误差至少分别降低44.47%和42.95%。算法在强降水时能精准响应降水瞬间变大的信号,结果与地面自动气象站观测的分钟降水数据接近;算法相较单波段雷达对降水估测改善明显,尤其是在X波段雷达密集分布的区域。该方法为特定区域大、小雷达组网融合估测降水提供了一个很好的算法参考。

     

    Abstract: The S-band dual-polarization (large) radar, owing to its longer wavelength and lower susceptibility to attenuation, serves as the primary tool for quantitative estimation of large-scale precipitation. However, factors such as scanning methods, the Earth's curvature, and terrain blockage cause the beam center to be too high or even blocked during long-range detection, leading to a significant underestimation of precipitation in these areas. The deployment of X-band dual-polarization (small) radars offers a potential solution to this issue. Leveraging the advantage of X-band radar in low-altitude detection, this paper proposes a method to improve the data quality of S-band dual-polarization radar, aiming to address the underestimation problem in long-range precipitation estimation by large radars. Experiments were conducted based on six precipitation events observed by 9 X-band dual-polarization phased array radars in Guangdong and the Heyuan S-band dual-polarization radar. The scientific validity of the method is verified. The results show that in long-range detection areas, the algorithm can significantly mitigate the underestimation by large radar and achieve better precipitation estimation performance than either single-band (S or X) radar, reducing errors by at least 14.27%. For light to moderate rain, the primary improvement generated by the algorithm is a reduction in the mean error. For heavy to torrential rain, the algorithm significantly alleviates the severe underestimation by single-band radars, reducing estimation errors of heavy rain (hourly rainfall 30—50 mm) and torrential rain (hourly rainfall >50 mm) by at least 44.47% and 42.95%, respectively. The algorithm can accurately capture the rapid intensification signals of precipitation during heavy rainfall events, yielding results closely matching minute-level precipitation data observed by ground automatic stations. Compared to single-band radar, the algorithm demonstrates significant improvements in precipitation estimation, particularly in areas with dense X-band radar coverage. This method provides a valuable algorithmic reference for operational precipitation estimation using large and small radar network fusion in specific areas.

     

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