大语言模型在气象服务应用中的能力评估

Evaluation of large language models in meteorological services

  • 摘要: 生成式人工智能的迅猛发展正驱动以大语言模型(large language models,LLMs)为核心的智能化转型。通用LLMs在气象服务等专业领域面临领域知识匮乏、决策支持可靠性不足及幻觉风险高等挑战,亟需建立科学、系统的垂域能力评估体系。首次从气象服务全链条视角出发,构建了面向气象服务LLM的多维能力评估框架,设计了多维度定量化指标体系,研制了覆盖多典型场景的高质量评估数据集,并对“风和”模型及9种中外主流LLMs开展了系统性评测。结果表明,“风和”在气象地理区划认知、气象标准规范解读及指令驱动的服务内容生成等关键能力上显著优于通用LLMs。验证了领域知识增强与任务适配对垂域LLM性能提升的有效性,为气象智能服务模型的迭代优化、标准化评估及行业应用准入机制建设提供了方法论支撑。

     

    Abstract: The rapid advancement of generative artificial intelligence is catalyzing an intelligent transformation centered on large language models (LLMs). Nevertheless, general-purpose LLMs typically encounter substantial limitations, including insufficient domain knowledge, low reliability in decision support, and elevated hallucination risks, when applied to specialized domains such as meteorological services. These challenges underscore the urgent need for a scientific and systematic evaluation framework tailored to domain specific LLM capabilities. An end-to-end evaluation paradigm for meteorological service LLMs is proposed, establishing a multidimensional capability assessment framework with quantitative metrics. Furthermore, a high quality benchmark dataset encompassing representative scenarios is further developed. Systematic evaluations were conducted on the Fenghe model alongside nine mainstream LLMs. Results demonstrate that Fenghe significantly outperforms general purpose LLMs in critical competencies such as meteorological geographical understanding, interpretation of authoritative meteorological standards, and instruction driven meteorological content generation, thereby validating the efficacy of domain knowledge infusion and task oriented adaptation in enhancing specialized LLM performance. This work provides a methodological foundation for iterative optimization of artificial intelligence enabled meteorological services, model evaluation, and the establishment of industry application.

     

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