RESEARCH AND APPLY MULTIPLE DYNAMIC INTERDEPENDENT MODEL(MDIM)TO PREDICT TYPHOON TRACK, INTENSITY AND WIND-SPEED,SIMULTANEOUSLY

The Multiple Dynamic Interdependent Model (MDIM) to predict the typhoon track,intensity and wind-speed in 24h.48h and 72h.respectively were researched and applied.Based on the previous work.the algorithm with considering covariance of endogenous variables was improved .New term "Multple Meteorological Dynamic Interdependent Model" was formaly named.And three aspects of the work were given:1.Backward test and prediction in 24h,48h and 72h and its statistical analysis.2.Random simulation with adding uniform distributed random number to observation and analysis of its stability.3.According to the problem of the typhoon in the model,some questions to solve and constructive suggestions to use are raised.