Prospects and progresses in the research of risk assessment of agro-meteorological disasters

The research on the agro-meteorological disaster risk is a hotspot of Catastrophology, as well as a practical task of urgent needs by the government. Though the assessment methods and theory of agro-meteorological disaster risk advances rapidly, a systematically review still remains vacant in this area. In order to have a thorough grasp of the current research status of the agro-meteorological disaster risk assessment, we have summarized and reviewed the present research achievements based on the relevant literatures of the recent 30 years, through which, we pointed out some existing shortcomings and put forward several research prospects of the agro-meteorological disaster risk assessment in the future. At the beginning, we reviewed the research history of the agro-meteorological disaster risk assessment, and then we elaborated the main content of the agro-meteorological disaster risk assessment, including the hazard risk assessment, vulnerability assessment, disaster damage assessment and comprehensive assessment, which could overall be summed up into three methods: the evaluation based on indexes, evaluation based on sample data, and the scenario simulation assessment method. In the end, we discussed shortcomings existing in the present research and the possible future research fields in the agro-meteorological disaster risk. This study would provide a reference for future agro-meteorological disaster risk assessment and promote its progress.