二维能量平衡模式中极冰对气候的影响——解的稳定性分析(一)

THE EFFECTS OF ICE CAPS ON THE GLOBAL CLIMATE IN TWO-DIMENSIONAL ENERGY BALANCE MODEL, PART 1 ANALYSIS ON THE STABILITY OF THE SOLUTION

  • 摘要: 本文从理论上分析了二维能量平衡气候模式解的稳定性.结果表明,解的上分支,即冰界随太阳常数增加而北移的解是稳定的;而解的下分支,即冰界随太阳常数增加而南移的解是不稳定的.由于现在地球上的气候是处在解的上分支,所以可以认为,现在气候状态是稳定的.

     

    Abstract: The stability of the climatic solution in two-dimensional energy balance model is theoretically analysed. It is shown that the upper bifurcation of the solution which represents northward shift of the ice edge with increase of solar radiation is stable; whereas the lower bifurcation of the solution which represents southward shift of the ice edge with increase of solar radiation is stable. Since current climate of the earth lies in the upper bifurcation of the solution, so it may be considered as stable.

     

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