应用GEM模式作北京地区航空气象要素逐时预报的探讨

AN ATTEMPT TO FORECASTING THE AVIATION WEATHER ELEMENTS HOUR-BY-HOUR IN BEIJING REGION BY USING GEM MODEL

摘要: 本文给出了应用Generalized Equivalent Markov model(简称GEM模式)作北京地区航空气象要素逐时预报的数学模式、制作步骤、试验结果及其分析,并展望了在航空气象要素短时预报中应用GEM模式的发展前景.

Abstract: In this paper,the mathematical model and the procedures of the Generalized Equivalent Marlcov model (GEM) are given along with the experimental result of the experiment in hour-by-hour forecasting of aviation weather elements in Beijing region.We also show the prospects of the GEM model in the shortrange forecastine of aviation weather elements.