冰期气候的数值模拟

THE NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF THE ICE AGE CLIMATE

  • 摘要: 应用CLIMAP重建的18000年以前的地表条件,作者用大气所两层大气环流模式模拟了冰极盛期7月份的气候.结果表明:全球气温明显低于模拟的现在7月份的气温,降水和总云量减少了,海平面气压升高了,而这些变化尤其是气温的变化以北半球高纬陆地区域和南极区为甚;CO2含量改变到现代值以后,引起的气候反响很小,说明必须用联合模式来研究.作者还指出,冰期边条件引起的气候反响与CO2含量加倍引起的气候反响有某种一致,这对我们理解气候系统如何响应外界的强迫是一个启发.

     

    Abstract: Using the IAP two一level general circulation model, the ice age July climate was simulated through the surface conditions of 18,000 years before present assembled by CLIMAP. Comparing with the present July simulation results, the ice age atmosphere.is found to have a substentially lower temperature, precipitation and cloudness, higher sea-level pressure, especially at high latitude land regicn of Northern Hemisphere and Antarctic. The ice age climate would have been changed little if the CO2 content is set at modern value, which shows the problem of CO2 sensitivity should be studied by means of coupled models. It was also pointed out that there are some common characteristics between CO2 induced climatic changes and the ice age surface condition-induced climatic changes, which may enlighten our understanding of how climate system responds to external forcings.

     

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