双线偏振雷达降雨估测分析

PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS OF RAINFALL ESTIMATE UTILIZING DUAL LINEAR POLARIZATION RADAR

  • 摘要: 本文提出排序配对逼近法来拟合1993-1994年1314次雷达和雨量计的取样资料,这样既弥补了线性回归法的不足,又提高了区域降水估测的精度。由误差分析知道:估测1000km2以上区域的降水时,对双线偏振雷达而言,其估测精度将极有可能降低到10%以下且比常规雷达有明显改善;双线偏振雷达的两种估测公式之间差异不大;按降水强弱分型处理可提高常规雷达估测精度,但对双线偏振雷达估测无有利影响。

     

    Abstract: In the paper,Asp(approx imation after sor tand pair) method have been put forward forget parameters of rainfall estimate.The paper use 1314 samples of radar and 17 precipitation stations at 1993-1994.This method make up the defect of linear regression and raise the precision ofarea rainfall estimate.Having analysed the errors,have gained the result:When estimate area precipitation more than 1 000km2 using dual linear polarization radar,the error will redeced to under 10% probably,it is better more than conventional radar;The difference between estimate formulas of dual linear polarization radar can over look;The method of estimate area rainfall in classified parameters is only effective using conventional radar.

     

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