海温及其变化对南海夏季风爆发的影响

IMPACT OF SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE AND ITD VARIONS ON THE ONSFT OF SUMMER MONSOON OVER SOUTH CHINA SEA

  • 摘要: 文中利用15a(1982~1996)的NOAA射出长波辐射(OLR)、NCEP/NCAR的风场和海表温度(SST)再分析网格点资料研究了南海、太平洋和印度洋海温及其变化对南海夏季风爆发的影响。首先发现爆发时南海区域平均的海表温度高于29℃。季风爆发的时间与南海南部SST年循环最高值出现的时间基本一致。冬春季海表增暖是环流场突变的基础。SST超前于低层西风和对流的增强而升高,从而造成季节性的大气条件不稳定增大。通过暖池移动过程,考察了南海夏季风爆发期间SST场、风场和OLR场的演变特征。季风环流的变化是对海表增温强迫的响应。最大暖水轴在10°N出现有利于ITCZ在南海建立。南海-西太平洋增温时,具有很强的纬向不均匀性,而印度洋则比较均匀。南海深对流的爆发与SST纬向梯度有关。南海夏季风爆发的年际变化与SST异常有关系。季风爆发偏晚年和偏早年冬春季SST正、负距平区的符号相反。偏晚年的SSTA分布呈El Niño型,偏早年的SSTA分布如同La Nina型。不同类型的SST异常对季风环流的影响不同。在El Niño型强迫下,西太平洋副热带高压比常年偏南、偏西,东风在南海维持的时间较长,赤道西风出现的时间晚,南海地区对流活动受到抑制,故南海季风爆发偏晚。反之,爆发偏早。

     

    Abstract: The impact of sea surface temperature (SST) over the south China sea (SCS), Paci fic and Indian Ocean and their variations on the onset of summer monsoon over SCS is investigated based on fifteen years' (1982-1996) NOAA outgoing longwave radiation (OLR), wind and SST data from NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data set.It is found that region-averaged SST over the SCS is above 29℃ when summer monsoon bursts. The timing of monsoon onset is close to the date when the SST over south part of SCS reaches its maximum. The northward shift of warm pool plays an important role in the SCS monsoon onset. The deep convection activities usually occur in the region with large zonal gradient of SST. Therefore, the large zona l gradient of SST over SCS-West Pacific may be the reason why the Asian summer monsoon firstly bursts in this region.The annual variation in the SCS summer monsoon onset is closely related with SST anomaly. The early-onset years appear related with La Nina years and the delayedonset years related with El Nino years.

     

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