西太平洋副热带高压异常及其与1998年长江流域洪涝过程关系的研究
A STUDY ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE ANOMALY OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH OVER THE WESTERN PACIFIC AND THE HEAVY FLOODING IN YANGTZE RIVER VALLEY IN 1998
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摘要: 文中结合1998年长江流域的洪涝过程研究了太平洋的活动特征,探讨了副热带高压活动与海温的关系,以及视热源、水汽汇的特征与副高活动的关系等。首先描述了1998年太平洋副热带高压的基本特征,给出了它异常的季节位置、强度和形态,及其与长江流域降水异常的关系。SVD分析表明,1997至1998年的ElNiño过程的演变特征所对应的太平洋副热带高压的最佳耦合模态是:主体强而位置偏南,特别是其西部。赤道辐合带也偏弱;1998年夏季副热带高压的基本特征正符合该模态的特征。热带地区东西向的垂直环流明显地出现东太平洋的异常上升气流与西太平洋的下沉距平气流。视热源、水汽汇的分布能很好地描写副热带高压区的季节位置和强度。副热带高压区为明显的Q10的辐射冷却区和Q20的变干区。这种特征也有助于副热带高压区的维持。同样,视热源、水汽汇的分布也能很好地解释副热带高压区的季节内异常活动。在长江流域持续暴雨期和间隙期,Q1,Q2所指示的副热带高压与雨带的相对位置有很大的差异。不同的热力结构能较好地解释副热带高压区的迅速南落,由此造成长江流域的二度梅。Abstract: The anomal ousactivity of subtr opical high over the western Pacific is studied during the summer of 1998,when the heavy flooding occurred in the Yangtze River region.The paper presents the influence of El Niño event in that period on the subtr opical high anomaly and the relationship between the distributions of apparentheat source Q1 and moist sink Q2 and the anomal oussubtropical high.The main charact eristics of subtropical high in that summer are given including its seasonal position,strength and the relation to the precipitation in the Yangtze River Valley.The main coupled mode between SST and subtr opical current revealed by SVD analysis shows that if the distribution of SST Apresents an El Niño pattern and its streng th decays from preceding winter to summer,the strength of subt ropical high in the western Pacific in the summer would be stronger and located at the lower latit udes,especially at its western part.The ITCZ at the southern side would be comparatively weaker.The 1997-1998 El Niño event was decaying from winter to summer,and the features of circulation around the subtro pical high are similar to that mode.There fore the influence of 1997-1998 El Niño on the anomalous subtropical high is very clear.The vertical circul ations have shown an anomalous upward flow over the eastern equatorial Pacific,and a down ward current over the western Pacific.The dist ribution of Q1 and Q2 may well describe the position and intraseasonal variation of the subtropical high,there fore explain the second period of Meiyu in the end of July in 1998.