基于降水气候强迫的一种地表径流估计方法

A ESTIMATION METHOD OF SURFACE RUNOFF RATIO BASED ON CLIMATIC FORCING OF PRECIPITATION

  • 摘要: 文中从地表水分平衡的物理机制出发,引进降水概率统计分布理论,推导出一种由降水气候强迫形成的次网格尺度非均匀径流率计算方法。应用于mosaic方案,可进一步计算区域平均径流及产流和汇流。试验证明,对于不同物理性质的地表而言,由于其土壤入渗能力的差异,相同降水气候强迫所能生成的径流量及其相对比值是不同的,例如干旱区与湿润区就有很大差异。同时,不同空间分布概率的降水量,不同站点的地表性质、土壤水力学条件等物理因素的千变万化,可使径流特征的空间分布具有很大变异性。因上述各种因素的综合影响,由降水气候强迫所形成的地表径流具有特定的非均匀分布是必然的。文中用实测资料验证了其可靠性与可行性。

     

    Abstract: A calculation method of subgrid scale runoff ratio over the heterogeneous surface is derived using the distribution theory of probability statistics on the basis of physics mechanism of water balance over land surface. The mean runoff and its out-growth and confluence over a grid region may be calculated when this method is used in mosaic scheme. It is demonstrated by test that due to difference of soil penet rability, even if the rainfall force is same for dif ferent soil types, the runoff charact eristic are also different. For any special scale, the surface heterogeneity of soil characteristic、land cover and climatic force are all exert influence on the het erogeneity of runoff. In this paper, the dependability and availability of this calculation method are verified from some example using actual observation data.

     

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