2006年夏季西南地区东部特大干旱及其大气环流异常

Features of the extremely severe drought in the east of Southwest China and anomalies of atmospheric circulation in summer 2006

  • 摘要: 利用1959—2006年西南地区东部20个测站的逐日降水资料、NCEP/NCAR再分析资料以及国家气候中心提供的环流特征量资料,分析了2006年夏季西南地区东部特大干旱的时空分布及其同期大气环流的异常特征。结果表明,2006年夏季西南地区东部少雨时段从6月中旬初开始一直持续到9月上旬中后期,达80多天,其中7月下旬中期到9月上旬中期降水尤其稀少。西南地区东部区域6、7、8月及整个夏季(6—8月)降水都偏少,降水指数显示2006年是西南地区东部1959年以来夏季降水最少的年份。2006年夏季西南地区特大干旱与大气环流异常有很大的关系,中高纬度环流及西太平洋副热带高压、西风带环流、南亚高压、低层流场、水汽输送以及垂直运动等都持续异常。西太平洋副高异常偏北且偏西和副高异常偏弱且偏东时,西南地区东部都可能出现严重干旱,2006年夏季属于副高控制性高温伏旱。西太平洋副高偏强偏北偏西,同时伴随南亚高压偏强偏东,西南地区东部在副高控制下,盛行下沉气流,同时也抑制了向该地的水汽输送,再加上西风带环流以及中高纬环流配置不利于冷空气南下,因而2006夏季西南地区东部少雨干旱。青藏高原热源偏弱,菲律宾附近地区对流非常活跃,是引起2006年夏季西太平洋副高偏强偏北偏西的重要原因。

     

    Abstract: The spatial-temporal distributive features of the extremely severe drought and the anomalous atmospheric circulation in summer 2006 are analyzed based on the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, the circulation characteristic index values given by the National Climate Center, and the daily precipitation data of the 20 stations in the east of southwest China from 1959 to 2006. Results show that the rainless period in summer 2006 started from early second dekad of June and ended in middle and late first dekad of September, totally more than 80 days, and the rainfall was especially scarce from middle third dekad of July to middle first dekad of September. Precipitations for the whole summer or each month were all less than normal level, and precipitation indexes show that the summer precipitation in 2006 was the least one since 1959. The extremely severe drought in the east of southwest China in summer 2006 has close relationship with persistent anomalies of the atmospheric circulation in the same period, i.e. anomalies of mid-high latitude atmospheric circulation, Western Pacific Subtropical High(WPSH), westerlies circulation, south Asia high, lower-level flow, water vapor transport, vertical movement and so on. The extremely severe drought could occur in the east of southwest China when the WPSH lies anomalously to the north and west of normal position or when it is anomalously weak and lies to the east. The cause for the high temperature and extreme drought in summer 2006 belongs to the former. The WPSH became stronger and shifted to the north and west of normal position, and meanwhile the south Asia high was also strong and lay to the east of normal position. The downdraft prevailed over the east area of southwest China under the control of the WPSH, and suppressed the water vapor transfer towards this area. At the same time, the disposition of the westerlies circulation and the midhigh latitude circulation was disadvantageous to the southward invasion of cold air. All those jointly resulted in the extremely severe drought event in the east of southwest China in the summer of 2006. The weak heating over the Tibetan Plateau and the vigorous convection activities over Philippine area are likely responsible for a strong WPSH and it's northwest shift in summer 2006.

     

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