登陆台风内中尺度强对流系统演变机制的湿位涡分析

Moistpotential vorticity analysis of the evolution mechanism of a strong mesoscale convective system in a landing typhoon

  • 摘要: 2005年05号台风“海棠”登陆福建后,在外围云系里有个明显发展的中尺度对流云团经过温州东部及北部地区,引起了强降水, 从而造成比热带风暴环流本身更具破坏力的强烈天气,因此研究台风内中尺度对流系统的发展机制能够为预报台风灾害提供依据。文中使用中尺度静力模式WRF对台风“海棠”登陆过程进行了模拟,模式很好地模拟了台风登陆过程中的路径、强度变化趋势和降水分布,尤其是模拟出了台风环流内的一次中尺度对流系统的发展过程,并利用模拟结果对台风环流内的这次中尺度对流系统进行了与之相关联的湿位涡分析,从而揭示了台风环流内中尺度对流系统发展演变的湿位涡特征。结果表明,在对流形成阶段,MPV1即对流不稳定为MCS的形成提供背景不稳定条件,由MPV2即湿等熵面的倾斜和水平风的垂直切变而引起的涡旋发展作为强迫机制:MCS形成的区域及东南区域中低层是强对流不稳定层,蕴含丰富的不稳定能量,倾斜上升运动把对流不稳定区具有强不稳定能量的暖湿空气向西北中层的中性层结区输送, 由于 的减小,气旋性涡度增强,有利于形成对流,另一方面,由于湿等熵面倾斜和低空急流加强而引起的涡旋发展作为一种强迫机制激发对流不稳定能量得到释放,从而形成对流;在对流系统地发展阶段,由于低层的对流不稳定性进一步减弱, 进一步减小,气旋性涡度进一步增强,有利于MCS的增强,中层等θe 线的倾斜度比绝对动量M 等值线的倾斜度大, 对应有条件对称不稳定区域, 满足条件对称不稳定(CSI) 条件,在湿等熵面倾斜和台风低空急流作用下引起的涡旋发展强迫对称不稳定能量释放,从而使得对流得以维持和加强。通过以上的分析给出了台风环流内中尺度对流系统发生发展的概念模型。

     

    Abstract: The fifth typhoon named HaiTang landed in Fujian in 2005, then it moved to northwest. During this movement, there was a mesoscale convective cloud increasing quickly, within the periphery of cloud cinctures of typhoon connected with tropical convergence cinctures. And the MCS caused heavy rainf all in the eastern and northern part of Wenzhou, which made the more dangerous weather than typhoon. In a word, it was important to research the developmental mechanism of MCS, for the new discovery could contribute to forecasting rainstorm caused by the landing typhoon in the future. Numerical simulation for the typhoon during landing was performed by using mesoscale model WRF in the paper. The model successfully simulated the typhoon track, the intensity tendency as well as the location of rainfall regions induced by typhoon. Especially, the development process of a mesoscale convective system in the typhoon circulation after landing had been successfully simulated. Potential vorticity was a physical quantity which could both reflect atmospheric thermodynamic and dynamic properties, the research work to study the mesoscale convective system applying the potential vorticity theory was not much in China. Therefore, the moist potential vorticity analysis associated with the mesoscale convective system was researched in the paper, so as to reveal the moist potential characteristics of mesoscale convective system in typhoon circulation. The results showed that, during the generation stage, convective instability characterized by MPV1 was a favorable condition for forming MCS, while the vorticity which was caused by the slantwise isentropic surface and the vertical shear of the horizontal wind characterized by MPV2 was an inspiring mechanism. The specific process was that, the atmosphere exhibited the feature of strong convective instability at the low level of convection areas and the southeast areas, which included plenty of erratic energy. The slantwise ascended the stream transfer the erratic energy to northwest, where the stratification stability was small. As decreased, the cyclonic vorticity increased. On the other hand, the vorticity caused by the slantwise isentropic surface and the vertical shear of the horizontal wind inspired the release of convective instability and as a result that the MCS formed. During the development stage, the cyclonic vorticity increased quickly with the persistent decreasing of . Meanwhile, the inclination of isentropic line ( )was bigger than the absolute momentum line (M) at middle level, which exhibited the feature of conditional symmetric instability (CSI) , then the conditional symmetric instability was forced to release by the vorticity resulted from the slantwise isentropic surface and the vertical shear of horizontal wind, and the MCS developed. According to above-mentioned analysis, a conceptual model of MCS development in landing typhoon has been established.

     

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