应用新型散度方程诊断暴雨的触发和增幅机理

A diagnostic study of the triggering of torrential rains and the mechanism for their amplication using a new type of divergence equation

  • 摘要: 分析散度及其变化是进行暴雨研究的途径之一,而传统的散度方程不能显示包含热力场分布影响散度演变的问题。因此,利用陈忠明等导出的新型散度方程和NCEP/NCAR (1°×1°经纬度)再分析资料,针对贵州省2007年7月25—26日持续性大暴雨天气过程,通过计算新型散度方程中的各项,定量诊断分析大气运动的正压非平衡强迫、湿斜压非地转与风垂直切变耦合强迫在暴雨发生发展过程中的作用,并与地面1、6 h降水观测资料和卫星云图资料进行对比分析。探讨正压非平衡强迫、湿Q矢量与垂直风切变的湿斜压热动力耦合强迫导致辐合增加与暴雨发生、发展的动力机制。结果表明:强降水主要发生在近中性或弱不稳定层结条件下。大气运动的正压非平衡强迫导致辐合增加是强降水过程的触发机制;在暴雨维持和增幅过程中,湿斜压热动力耦合强迫在强降水的维持方面扮演了重要角色。当强降水过程发生后,才存在湿斜压热动力耦合强迫作用,湿斜压热动力耦合强迫作用是暴雨增幅的动力机制。未来6小时强降水发生的区域、降水强度、中心位置与散度演变的强负值区变化一致。新型散度方程对强降水预报有指导意义,可以作为诊断散度场演变的一种有效的数学工具。

     

    Abstract: Analyzing the evolvement of divergent field is an approach to research the occurrence of torrential rains. However, the traditional divergence equation is obtained from the horizontal dynamic equations.In this paper, we use a new type of divergence equation and the NCEP/NCAR 1°×1° reanalysis data to analyze the barotropic nonequilibrium force and the baroclinic coupling forces at each stage of the persistent heavy rainfall event in Guizhou during 25-26 July 2007 and compare with the observed 1 hour and 6 hour accumulative precipitation and satellite data.The results show that this severe rainfall mainly happened under a nearneutral or weak unstable stratification.The increment of divergence caused by the barotropic nonequilibrium force should contribute to the occurrence of severe rain, which is the excited mechanism for this rain. In the course of the severe rainfall maintenance and enhancement, the baroclinic coupling forces between the dynamic and thermodynamic fields play a main role.The baroclinic coupling forces are the important factors for the heavy rainfall enhancement.The change of the divergence is consistent with the area,the strength and the position of the torrential rain happened 6 hours latter.As a result,the barotropic nonequilibrium force and the baroclinic coupling forces between dynamic and thermodynamic may serve as the indicators for the prediction of the severe rain,that may be used as a mathematical tool to diagnose the evolvement of divergent field. 

     

/

返回文章
返回