广西“6.12”特大暴雨中西南涡与中尺度对流系统发展的相互关系研究

A study of relationship between a southwest vortex and the mesoscale convective systems during the severe “6.12” rainstorm event in Guangxi province

  • 摘要: 基于多种观测和数值模式模拟资料,在位涡守恒和反演理论的框架下,对2008年广西“6.12”特大暴雨过程中的西南低涡系统发展过程及其伴随的中尺度对流系统活动特征进行了分析。从天气系统的综合分析看,低涡系统在初始阶段发展相当迅速,东移过程中低空西南急流有明显增强,为中尺度对流系统的活动提供了良好的环境条件。对位涡的诊断分析表明,在西南涡发展前期,中尺度对流系统的对流过程在对流层中造成位涡下正上负的结构,积云对流加热与正位涡异常之间的正反馈过程相当明显,从而解释了西南低涡快速发展的机制。随着低涡的发展,低涡系统中的中尺度切变线、低空急流等动力结构对降水和中尺度对流系统的发展有重要的影响。12日夜间,受高层正位涡异常加强的影响,高低层系统的耦合导致柳州附近低层中尺度锋区加强,中尺度对流系统在中尺度冷锋的组织下有较强的发展,造成了夜间的局地强降水。位涡反演诊断表明,西南涡的发展在天气尺度上是一个准平衡的动力过程,平衡流能够描述西南涡风场结构的主要分量;而非平衡流结构对西南涡中中尺度对流系统的发展有更清晰的预报指示意义。

     

    Abstract: Under the theory framework of potential vorticity (PV) conservation, the evolution of a southwest vortex which induced severe rainstorms happening in Guangxi province and the Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs) companied with this vortex was analyzed based on various observation data and numerical simulation results. According to the synthetic analysis of synoptic weather systems, the low vortex developed rather rapidly in the beginning, and the southwest low level jet strengthened distinctly which created a suitable environment for convection. In light of the diagnosis of PV, it is revealed that the mass transporting effect by the MCSs activities resulted in the distribution of positive PV anomaly in the upper level and negative PV anomaly in the low level, and the positive feedback between the convective heating and the positive PV anomaly explained the quick deepening of low level vortex. During the stable developing stage of the southwest vortex, the mesoscale shear line and low level jet formed in the vortex made an important impact on the evolution of precipitation and MCSs. On the night of 12 Jun, due to the influencing of positive PV anomaly increasing in the upper level, the coupling effects by the upper and low level systems lead to rapid growing of MCSs which struck Liuzhou severely. The results by reversing PV indicated that the evolving of the southwest vortex is a quasibalanced dynamical process on the synoptic scale, the balanced flow can represent the main structure of the southwest vortex, and the nonbalanced flow is able to be used for revealing the details of the MCSs development in the southwest vortex more clearly.

     

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