梅雨期3类不同形成机制的暴雨

Study of the three types of torrential rains of different formation mechanism during the meiyu period

  • 摘要: 通过对1998—2007年观测资料的分析,根据影响梅雨期暴雨发生、发展机制的不同,将梅雨期暴雨分为外强迫型、自组织型和非组织化局地型3种类型。外强迫型主要包括冷槽推进型、西南涡移出型和北槽南涡型,该类型暴雨主要是由大尺度环流的动力强迫抬升和冷空气侵入形成的不稳定层结共同作用而产生;在3类外强迫型中,高低空急流相互作用和冷槽的影响形式有很大不同。在自组织型中,暴雨对流系统具有较长生命周期,并以合并增长、上下游发展和新生中尺度涡旋等形式而传播、发展,是在切变线、水汽辐合带和低空急流等弱环境强迫下形成的一类暴雨。在非组织化局地型中,主要有山区午后强对流和副热带高压边缘对流不稳定两种形式,局地对流不稳定是暴雨产生的主要原因。不同的形成机制,导致出现了不同类型的梅雨期暴雨,相应地这些不同类型的梅雨期暴雨具有不同的预报难度。

     

    Abstract: Based on the formation mechanism and the analysis of observations, the torrential rainfalls during the meiyu-period from 1998 to 2007 could be assorted into three types, including the external forcing rainstorms, the self-organizing rainstorms and the non-organizing localized torrential rainfalls. The external forcing rainstorms are mainly related to a moving upper-level trough, or a moving-out Southwest vortex, or the weather pattern with a deep trough in north and a vortex in south. This kind of rainfall benefits from the lifting by the large scale circulation and the intrusion of the cold air from the middle troposphere. However, there are still differences among these rainstorm events, such as the interaction between low-level and upper-level jets as well as the way of impact of the cold trough on rainstorm. The self-organizing rainstorms usually persist for long life cycles due to the coherent regeneration processes, such as merging growth, up-stream and down-stream development, or new generation of mesoscale convective vortex. The low-level wind shear, moisture convergence zone and low-level jet are all favourable to this type of rainstorms. The non-organizing localized torrential rainfalls are usually found at noon over the mountain areas and the edge of sub-tropical high, as the direct results of convective instability. Since different formation mechanisms result in different types of meiyu period rainstorms, the corresponding difficulties to forecasting these rainstorms are not the same as well.

     

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