基于雷达反射率反演降水率的一维+三维变分同化研究及试验

Study of the “1D+3D var” assimilation of the rain rate retrieved from radar reflectivity and its experiments

  • 摘要: 基于雷达反射率反演的降水率,以线性化的大尺度凝结方案和简化的CUDU对流参数化方案为降水的观测算子,建立大气湿度一维变分同化系统。通过一维变分系统获得合理的大气水汽廓线,以三维变分同化方法引进水汽廓线,为精细模式提供高质量的水汽初估值场。 以一个强降水过程和2011年5月一个月为例,通过一维+三维变分同化系统订正大气水汽初估值,初步评估采用一维+三维变分同化系统同化雷达资料后对短期降水预报的影响。

     

    Abstract: The one dimensional variational data assimilation system (1D var), with ability of assimilating the rain rate retrieved from radar reflectivity, is established by utilizing two linearized physical parameterizations of large-scale condensation and convection as the observational operator. A realistic water vapor profile, obtained by 1D var, is assimilated by the three dimensional data assimilation system (3D var) to produce a better quality of water vapor field for high resolution models. To preliminarily estimate the impact of the 1D+3D var assimilation of the rain rate upon short-term precipitation forecast, a case study of the severe rainfall occurred on 9 June 2010 and one month experiment (May 2011) are performed, by applying the “1D+3D var” to get the realistic water vapor profile and a better initial condition for fine resolution models.

     

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