中国中东部冬季霾日的形成与东亚冬季风和大气湿度的关系

Influence of the East Asian winter monsoon and atmospheric humidity on the wintertime haze frequency over central-eastern China

  • 摘要: 利用1961-2013年中国地面台站长期观测资料和同期NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,以华北、江淮和华南为研究区,分析了中国中东部冬季霾日的形成与东亚冬季风以及大气湿度的关系。结果表明:(1)冬季霾日与东亚冬季风强度成显著的负相关。首先,东亚冬季风强度的减弱使得地面风速减小,进而导致冬季霾日增多。其中,华北7-8 m/s最大风速日数和江淮6-8 m/s最大风速日数的减少,及华南≤2 m/s最大风速日数的增多对各区冬季霾日的增多作用较大。其次,东亚冬季风减弱引起冬季气温的持续升高,易导致冬季霾日的增多,这在华北地区较之在江淮和华南更为明显。(2)由于气候变暖,冬季气温升高,使得近地面相对湿度减小。在江淮和华南地区,冬季霾日的增多与近地面相对湿度的减小显著相关,而在华北地区这种相关较弱。(3)冬季气温升高也有利于大气层结稳定度的增强,3个区域冬季霾日的增多均与大气层结稳定度的增强显著相关,特别是与对流层中低层(850-500 hPa)大气饱和度的降低显著相关。(4)冬季霾日数变化与区域水汽输送关系密切。其中,华北地区的冬季霾日数与水汽总收入成显著正相关,江淮地区与纬向水汽收入成显著正相关,与经向水汽收入成显著负相关,华南地区与经向水汽收入成显著负相关。

     

    Abstract: Based on long-term observations collected at 423 stations in China and the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data for the period from 1961 to 2013, the influence of the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) and atmospheric humidity on the wintertime haze frequency over North China, Jianghuai Region and South China has been discussed. Results suggest that:(1) there is a remarkable negative correlation between the EAWM and the wintertime haze frequency. First, a weakening EAWM leads to decreases in surface wind speed, and subsequent increases in the wintertime haze frequency over all the three regions. Decreases in the number of days with daily maximum wind speed of 7-8 m/s in North China and daily maximum wind speed of 6-8 m/s in Jianghuai Region and increases in the number of days with daily maximum wind speed not greater than 2 m/s in South China have the largest impact on the wintertime haze frequency. Second, as the intensity of the EAWM weakens, the surface temperature increases, which induces increases in the wintertime haze frequency, especially in North China; (2) the relative humidity decreases in response to increases in temperature. There is a remarkable negative correlation between the relative humidity and the wintertime haze frequency in Jianghuai Region and South China; (3) the increasing wintertime temperature is conducive to the strengthening of the atmospheric stability. The wintertime haze frequency is negatively correlated with the atmospheric stability over all the three study regions, particularly with the saturation mixing ratio from 850 to 500 hPa; (4) the wintertime haze frequency in North China is significantly positively correlated with the wintertime water vapor net income. In Jianghuai Region, it is significantly positively correlated with the net income of wintertime zonal water vapor transport but significantly negatively correlated with the net income of wintertime meridional water vapor transport. In South China, it has a significantly negative correlation with the net income of wintertime meridional water vapor transport, but has no significant correlation with the net income of wintertime zonal water vapor transport.

     

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