北半球中高纬度阻塞对东亚寒潮影响过程中平流层和对流层的相互作用

The stratosphere-troposphere interaction during cold air outbreaks in East Asia associated with the blocking events in the extratropical Northern Hemisphere

  • 摘要: 利用ERA5逐日再分析资料集,探究了冬季(12月至次年2月)大尺度阻塞与东亚寒潮的关系,发现近年来冬季大尺度阻塞与寒潮频次的年际相关有增强趋势,其中乌拉尔山大尺度阻塞与寒潮频次的年际相关最为显著,鄂霍次克海大尺度阻塞与寒潮频次的相关最弱。选取乌拉尔山和贝加尔湖区域大尺度阻塞后10 d内有寒潮爆发和无寒潮爆发的事件进一步统计分析,发现乌拉尔山区域发生大尺度阻塞时,阻塞后有(无)寒潮的事件在中高纬度行星波向平流层上传加强(减弱),导致平流层极涡减弱(显著加强)。波活动响应的主要贡献来自于行星纬向1波。而(50°—70°N ,90°—110°E)位势高度在阻塞发生后逐渐加强(减弱),最终导致寒潮爆发(未爆发)。贝加尔湖区域发生大尺度阻塞时的情况与乌拉尔山区域基本一致,但1990—2019年阻塞后有寒潮事件时行星纬向2波比纬向1波起更重要的作用。

     

    Abstract: This paper investigates the connection between large-scale blocking events and Cold Air Outbreaks (CAOs) using daily data from the ERA5 reanalysis dataset. The results show that the interannual correlation between the occurrence of large-scale blocking events and CAOs in winter (December to February of next year) tends to increase in recent years, especially in the Ural region, and the correlation is the weakest in the Okhotsk region. When a large-scale blocking event occurs in the Ural region, the upward propagation of extratropical planetary waves into the stratosphere strengthens (weakens) before the blocking with (without) CAOs within the next 10 days. The wave activity response is mainly contributed by the wave-1 component. As a result, the stratospheric polar vortex weakens (significantly strengthens) with the geopotential height over the region of (50°—70°N, 90°—110°E) gradually strengthening (weakening) after the blocking. The processes are very similar in the Baikal region, except that the wave-2 component plays a more important role than wave-1 during the 1990—2019 period when CAOs occur after the blockings.

     

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