风压平衡关系对高分辨率区域模式地面资料同化的影响分析

Impact of the mass-wind balance constraint on surface data assimilation for a high-resolution mesoscale model

  • 摘要: 随着模式分辨率的提高,数值模式可分辨的短波信息增加,以地转平衡为基础的风压平衡约束关系不能完全满足低纬度地区及对流尺度高分辨率模式资料同化的需求。提出了基于多重网格方法构建1 km分辨率数值模式变分同化风压平衡约束关系的方案,基于CMA-MESO (China Meteorological Administration Mesoscale Model)三维变分(Three-Dimensional Variational Data Assimilation,简称3DVAR)和1 km分辨率中尺度区域模式开展了单点同化试验和典型个例分析。单点同化试验表明,气压和风的同化结果在没有平衡约束关系条件下比线性平衡约束下更接近观测。地面自动气象站观测资料同化试验表明新风压平衡约束关系将明显增加模式低层几十千米尺度的分析增量,其次是增加100—200 km尺度的分析增量。新风压平衡约束试验的同化分析增量相对于线性平衡约束的对照试验可以给出更多的增量中心位置,更好描述低层水汽辐合,对模式初始0—3 h降水、0—6 h地面10 m风和地面气压的模拟有改进。研究表明在大尺度风压平衡约束的基础上增加局地无风压平衡约束的订正,可以提高对流尺度天气系统地面短波信息的同化能力,改进高分辨率模式短时临近预报。

     

    Abstract: With the improvement of model resolution, the recognizable shortwave information of numerical models increases. The mass-wind balance constraint based on geostrophic balance cannot fully meet the needs of data assimilation in low latitude regions and for high-resolution convective scale models. This paper proposes a mass-wind balance constraint for a 1 km resolution variational assimilation system based on the multigrid method, which adds correction without mass-wind constraint on the basis of large-scale mass-wind balance. Single point assimilation experiments and typical case studies are conducted based on the CMA-MESO (China Meteorological Administration Mesoscale Model) Three-Dimensional Variational Data Assimilation System and mesoscale regional model. The results indicate that the new mass-wind balance relationship can significantly increase the analysis increment on the scale of several tens of kilometers in the lower layer of the model, followed by an increase in analysis increment on the scale of about 100 to 200 kilometers. The assimilation analysis increment of the new mass-wind balance experiment can describe more increment center positions compared to that of the control experiment of linear balance constraint. It can also better describe low-level water vapor convergence and improve the simulation of initial 0—3 hour precipitation, 0—6 hour 10 meter wind and surface pressure. Results of the study indicate that when local mass-wind balance constraint is not considered, adding local correction on the basis of large-scale mass-wind balance constraint can improve the assimilation ability of shortwave information in convective systems and thus improve short-term forecasting by high-resolution models.

     

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