“23·7”华北极端强降水特征和水汽条件研究

Characteristics of the July 2023 extreme rainfall in North China and its water vapor supply

  • 摘要: 利用地面气象站降水资料和ERA5再分析资料,对2023年7月29日—8月1日华北极端强降水的特征和水汽条件进行研究。结果表明,“23·7”华北极端强降水具有降水时间长、累计降水量大的特征,表现出显著极端性。降水主要位于太行山和燕山山前,最大降水带与山脉走向基本一致。极端强降水期间存在显著的环流异常,偏北的副热带高空急流、异常偏北的西太平洋副热带高压是导致此次极端强降水的关键环流;北上的台风“杜苏芮”残余环流、台风“卡努”和低空急流等是此次极端强降水的主要影响天气系统。此次极端强降水的水汽条件存在显著的阶段性特征,7月29日08时—31日08时主要降水区域低层辐合、高层辐散和上升运动较强,低层气旋式风场发展深厚,水汽由台风“杜苏芮”残余环流近距离输送及“卡努”接力输送,并以前者为主,京津冀地区整层水汽处于净流入状态,最大水汽净流入速度达1.5×108 kg/s;7月31日08时—8月1日08时上升运动、对流层低层辐合和高层辐散均显著减弱,低层气旋式风场厚度收缩,“杜苏芮”残余环流消亡,仅由台风“卡努”远距离输送水汽,京津冀地区整层水汽处于净流出状态,最大水汽净流出速度为5×107 kg/s。太行山和燕山地形的阻挡作用使得水汽辐合中心长时间滞留,同时其摩擦作用可能有利于山前上升运动增强,为本次极端强降水提供了有利条件。

     

    Abstract: Characteristics and water vapor condition of the extreme rainstorm in North China from 29 July to 1 August in 2023 are investigated based on surface meteorological observations of precipitation and the ERA5 reanalysis data. It is found that the “23·7” extreme rainstorm in North China has the characteristics of long precipitation period and large cumulative amount, exhibiting a significant extremity. The precipitation was mainly located in front of the Taihang mountain and the Yanshan mountain. The maximum precipitation center was basically consistent with the orientation of the mountains, showing a banded pattern. There were significant circulation anomalies during the extreme rainstorm. The northward shifted upper-level subtropical jet stream and the abnormally northerly western Pacific subtropical high pressure were the key circulation factors that affected the extreme rainstorm, while the remnant circulation of northward-moving typhoon Doksuri, typhoon Khanun and the low-level jet stream were the major weather systems affecting the extreme rainstorm. The water vapor condition of the extreme rainstorm showed obvious phase features. From 08:00 BT 29 to 08:00 BT 31 July, low-level convergence, high-level divergence and upward motion were strong in the main precipitation area, and the low-level cyclonic wind further deepened. Water vapor was transported by the remnant circulation of typhoon Doksuri over a short range and continued by typhoon Khanun, with the former being the main source. The entire layer of water vapor in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region was in a net inflow state, with the maximum net inflow reaching 1.5×108 kg/s. From 08:00 BT 31 July to 08:00 BT 1 August, the ascending motion, the lower-level convergence and upper-level divergence significantly weakened, the thickness of low-level cyclonic wind field shrank, and water vapor was transported only by typhoon Khanun over long distances. The entire layer of water vapor in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region was in a state of net outflow, with the maximum net outflow reaching 5×107 kg/s. The blocking effect of the Taihang mountain and Yanshan mountain caused the water vapor convergence center to remain for a long time, and their frictional effect may be favorable for the amplification of the ascent motions in front of the mountain. These effects provided favorable conditions for this extreme heavy rainfall.

     

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