广西北海一次强降水天气过程中的东亚季风低压活动特征

Characteristics of an East Asian monsoon depression during a heavy rainfall event in Beihai, Guangxi

  • 摘要: 为进一步清楚认识东亚季风低压的发生、发展和移动过程以及华南极端降水事件的成因,利用ERA5再分析资料和TempestExtremes轨迹追踪软件对导致2023年6月8日广西北海特大暴雨天气过程的东亚季风低压活动特征进行了分析。从季风低压的移动轨迹可以看出,6月7—9日,季风低压主要在北海附近活动,带来的大量水汽对特大暴雨的形成具有重要影响。季风低压不同发展阶段的结构差异显示,从初始阶段到强盛时刻,低压垂直结构存在不对称性,随高度的倾斜方向由东南—西北向转变为东北—西南向,强盛时刻后的低压减弱可能与北方冷空气进入低压的“填塞”作用有关。低压将要消亡时,高层大气中的纬向平均离差高值区都已经明显偏离中心,垂直环流的纬向平均离差则出现了较多的下沉运动。值得注意的是,季风低压内部中低层大气中一直存在明显的“冷心”,是季风低压不能进一步发展的可能原因之一。研究结果还表明,西太平洋副热带高压的外围气流对季风低压的移动路径具有主导作用,但台风“古超”的间接影响也不可忽视。此外,季风低压登陆后,北方冷空气南下对低压移动起到了一定的阻碍作用。

     

    Abstract: To further understand the occurrence, development and movement of East Asian monsoon depressions (EAMD) and the causes of extreme precipitation events in South China, the activities of an EAMD that caused the heavy rainstorm in Beihai, Guangxi on 8 June 2023 are analyzed using the ERA5 reanalysis data and the tracking software TempestExtremes. From the moving track of the EAMD, it can be seen that from 7 to 9 June, the EAMD mainly moved near Beihai, and the large amount of water vapor brought by it had an important impact on the formation of the heavy rainstorm. The structural differences between different development stages of the EAMD show that from the initial stage to the mature stage, the EAMD had an asymmetrical vertical structure, with the tilt direction changing from southeast-northwest to northeast-southwest as the height increased. The weakening of the EAMD after reaching its peak intensity may be related to the "filling" effect of cold air entering the EAMD from the north. When the EAMD was about to dissipate, the areas of large deviation from zonal mean in the upper atmosphere had obviously deviated from the center of the EAMD, and there were more descending motions in the deviation from zonal mean of vertical circulation. It is worth noting that an obvious “cold core” always existed in the middle and lower atmosphere of the EAMD, which was one of the possible factors preventing further development of the EAMD. The results also show that the peripheral flow of the Western Pacific Subtropical high played a leading role in the moving path of the EAMD, but the indirect influence of Typhoon “Guchol” cannot be ignored. In addition, after the EAMD landed, the northerly cold air hindered the movement of the EAMD to a certain extent.

     

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