边界层涡动输送对郑州“21.7”特大暴雨的影响分析

Analysis of the impact for PBL turbulent transport for the “21·7” Zhengzhou torrential rainfall

  • 摘要: 郑州“21.7”暴雨是百年一遇的特大暴雨,持续时间长、短时1hr降水强度大。本文主要针对该暴雨过程瞬时降水强度特征展开边界层涡动传输对比分析,目的旨在探究此次小时降水极值形成过程中边界层结构特征及其作用。资料和方法通过分别调整局地涡动扩散系数和逆梯度项系数,进行三组对比试验,结果及结论结果显示:1)边界层涡动传输过程对郑州特大暴雨局地1hr降水极值有重要影响,局地涡动扩散系数减小主要使降水强度显著减弱,逆梯度项主要影响降水落区和演变过程;2)边界层次网格尺度传输过程对产生暴雨的大尺度背景条件具有较强调制作用,调整边界层水汽和热量涡动传输过程可明显影响局地水汽供应和大气不稳定条件;3)水汽和热量涡动传输可使水汽通量辐合及大气低层不稳定的分布、强度、时间演变发生显著变化,进而影响瞬时极值降水强度和出现时间,可能是影响本次局地强降水模拟的重要因子。

     

    Abstract: The “21.7” Zhengzhou torrential rainfall is the century’s worst severe storm, characterized by long persistence and intensive 1-hour precipitation. Through comparison analysis of PBL eddy transport for this instantaneous precipitation process, this study tries to investigate the PBL structure and impact of the turbulent diffusion on severe precipitation intensity. Three comparison experiments are designed by tuning coefficients of local eddy diffusion and counter-gradient term. Results show that the PBL turbulent transport has strong influence on severe 1-hour precipitation of “21.7” Zhengzhou torrential rainfall event. It is found through comparison that the decrease of local eddy diffusion noticeably leads to weakening in precipitation intensity and the counter-gradient term chiefly makes some modification on rainfall location and evolution. Furthermore, PBL eddy transport can modulate large-scale atmospheric conditions favorable for heavy storms, such as local water vapor supply and atmospheric instability. Finally, the eddy vapor and heat transport could notably modify the distribution, intensity, evolution of moisture flux convergence and PBL atmospheric instability and exhibit a great influence on this severe storm simulation.

     

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