中国东部地区秋末冬初大雾多发的异常环流特征及成因

Characteristics of circulation anomalies and formation mechanisms for late autumn and early winter fog days over eastern China

  • 摘要: 利用1960—2022年中国国家气象台站逐日地面气象观测数据和ERA5再分析资料,结合统计分析和动力学诊断方法,揭示了中国东部地区秋末冬初大雾多发的异常环流特征及形成机制。结果表明,中国东部秋末冬初大雾多发时,东亚沿岸对流层中高层存在显著的位势高度正异常,东亚大槽明显减弱,不利于槽后冷空气大规模东移南下。对流层低层在120°E以东为反气旋式环流异常,以西为气旋式环流异常,东亚沿岸为显著南风异常,东亚冬季风减弱。海平面气压梯度减小,近地面风速异常偏弱。偏南风异常引起的暖平流是大气层结异常稳定的主导因素,有利于大气逆温层的形成和维持。此外,偏南风异常有利于水汽向北输送,在中国东部地区产生水汽通量辐合异常,为大雾的形成和维持提供了充沛的水汽条件。中国东部地区大雾多发时的大尺度环流异常受到厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(El Niño-Southern Oscillation,ENSO)和中高纬波列的协同影响。ENSO有利于产生西北太平洋低层反气旋异常,欧洲中部负涡度源区激发的中高纬罗斯贝波列导致东亚沿岸对流层中高层高压异常。进一步加深了对中国东部地区秋末冬初大雾多发的成因机制认识,为开展大雾季节预测工作奠定基础。

     

    Abstract: Daily observations collected at meteorological gauge stations in eastern China and ERA5 reanalysis data for the period of 1960—2022 are utilized to investigate the key circulation in late autumn and early winter fog days in eastern China and its formation mechanisms based on statistical analysis and dynamical diagnosis. Results show that when fog days are prevalent in eastern China during late autumn and early winter, a significant positive geopotential height anomaly occurs in the middle and upper troposphere along the East Asian coast and the East Asian trough weakens, which is not conducive to the eastward and southward movement of cold air. There are an anticyclonic circulation anomaly in the lower troposphere to the east of 120°E and a cyclonic circulation anomaly to the west accompanied with significant southerly wind anomalies along the East Asian coast, corresponding to weakened East Asian winter monsoon, reduced sea level pressure gradient, and weak near-surface wind speed. The warm advection caused by the anomalous southerly winds is the dominant factor that affects the atmospheric stability, promoting the formation and maintenance of temperature inversion layers. Moreover, the southerly wind anomalies are also favorable for the northward transport of water vapor and cause moisture flux convergence in eastern China, providing a sufficient water vapor condition for the formation of fog. The large-scale circulation anomalies associated with fog days in eastern China are synergistically affected by El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and mid- and high-latitude wave trains. ENSO is conducive to anomalous low-level anticyclone in the western North Pacific. The mid- and high-latitude Rossby wave trains triggered by the negative wave source in central Europe cause high pressure anomalies in the middle and upper troposphere along the East Asian coast, weakening the East Asian trough and conducive to the occurrence of fog days. The results of this study enhance our understanding of the formation mechanisms for late autumn and early winter fog days in eastern China, and lay a foundation for seasonal fog prediction.

     

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