泰山地区暴雨日中尺度对流系统的组织形态演变及地形的可能影响

Evolution of organization mode of mesoscale convective systems during rainstorm days in Taishan region and possible influence of topography

  • 摘要: 为了研究泰山地区暴雨日中尺度对流系统(MCS)的组织形态与演变,以及地形对它们的可能影响,利用2020—2022年5—10月山东新一代天气雷达拼图、卫星和常规观测资料,统计分析了泰山地区暴雨日中导致暴雨的MCS的类型和演变特征。结果表明:泰山地区的MCS可划分为6种雷达回波形态:非线状回波(NL)、镶嵌在层状云内的对流带(EL1)、镶嵌在层状云内的多条对流带(EL2)、层状云位于后侧的对流带(TS)、尾流线状对流带(TL)以及平行层云降水对流带(PS)。其中有4类和已有的研究结果类似,EL2类与TL类属于泰山地区新统计出的MCS。在卫星云图上,这6类MCS常表现为不规则的椭圆形或长条状,最高云顶亮温在−50℃以下,不易区分MCS的形态细节,而新一代天气雷达资料可弥补这一缺陷。据分析,NL类、EL1类和EL2类是影响泰山地区的主要类型,占总样本数的86%,其中EL1类最多。EL1类,包括已有研究成果中的镶嵌回波带(EL类)与无层状云的线状回波(NS类),生成源地在邢台至德州、聊城一带,多向东南方向移动;次多的为NL类,该类回波在泰山地区生成,强回波分散、少动;处第三位的是EL2类回波,该回波的源地在开封至菏泽之间,生成后多向东北方向移动。除EL2类与PS类外,其余的回波形态出现频次均具有明显的日变化,表现为午后与夜间两个高峰期。泰山地形会对大多数降雨回波的强度、形态、移速与移向等产生影响,尤其是在TS类的形成、NL类演变成EL1类、EL1类演变成EL2类或NL类中起到了重要作用。据统计,仅有12%的MCS回波形态不发生大的改变,其余的样本每隔1.5—3 h形态就演变一次。相较而言,NL类不仅是造成泰山地区暴雨的主要形态之一,很多情况下还是其他MCS回波演变过程中的中间态。

     

    Abstract: To study the organization mode and evolution characteristics of mesoscale convective systems (MCS) that cause heavy rain during rainstorm days in Taishan region as well as possible influence of terrain, the modes and evolution characteristics of MCS are analyzed using the new generation composite radar reflectivity data, satellite data and operational observation data from May to October during 2020—2022. The results show that MCSs in Taishan area can be divided into six classes: Nonline-MCS (NL), Embedded line MCS (EL1), Embedded lines MCS (EL2), Trailing stratiform MCS (TS), Training line MCS (TL) and Parallel stratiform MCS (PS). Four of them are the same as previously classified archetypes, and the EL2 and TL are two new statistical classes in Taishan region. On satellite cloud charts, the six classes often appear as irregular ovals or long stripes with the highest black body temperature (TBB) below −50°C, making it difficult to distinguish detailed mode of MCS. However, the new generation of weather radar data can make up for this defect. According to the analysis, NL, EL1 and EL2 are the main classes affecting the Taishan region, accounting for 86% of the total samples, and EL1 is the most common. EL1 class, including the embedded line (EL) in existing research results and the convective line without stratiform rainfall (NS) , originates in the area from Xingtai to Dezhou and Liaocheng, and mostly moves along the southeastern direction. The second most common class is the NL, which generates in the Taishan area with strong echoes dispersed and little movement; the third is the EL2 class, which generates in the area between Kaifeng and Hefei, and mostly moves along the northeastern direction after formation. Except for the EL2 and PS, the other classes appear with a distinct diurnal variation,showing two peaks in the afternoon and at night respectively. Taishan has impacts on the intensity, shape, moving speed and direction of most rainfall echoes, especially on the formation of TS and the transformation of NL into EL1 and EL1 into EL2 or NL. According to statistics, only 12% of MCS modes do not change significantly, and the rest of the samples change every 1.5—3 h. In contrast, NL is not only one of the main classes that cause heavy rain in Taishan area, but also an intermediate mode in the evolution of other MCS in many cases.

     

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