中国干旱、半干旱区气候变化及影响研究百年进展

Advances in research on climate change and its effects on the arid and semi-arid regions of China over the past century

  • 摘要: 中国干旱、半干旱区面积占国土总面积的三分之一以上,是全球气候变化敏感区和脆弱区。近百年来针对区域气候变化及其影响已开展了大量研究工作,但由于研究视角不同,结论比较分散,亟需通过系统的总结归纳,形成相对系统和完整的科学认识。为此,基于近百年来中国干旱、半干旱区气候变化及其影响研究的文献资料,从研究资料、研究方法和研究对象3个方面归纳梳理了区域气候变化及影响研究的发展历程,从干旱、半干旱区的形成及扩缩、区域气候变化特征、气候变化驱动因子以及区域气候变化的影响4个方面总结凝炼了一些比较重要的科学认识。在此基础上,提出了干旱、半干旱区气候变化及影响研究的未来6个重点方向。

     

    Abstract: Arid and semi-arid regions constitute approximately one-third of the total land area in China and are vulnerable to the effects of global climate change. Over the past century, a large number of studies have investigated regional climate change and its impacts. However, the conclusions are inconsistent due to differing research perspectives, and this has highlighted the urgent need to obtain systematic, scientific knowledge through synthesis and induction. This study used the available literature to review and categorize the evolution of regional climate change and its effects in the arid and semi-arid regions of China over the last century. It analyzed three components: Study data, methodologies, and subjects, and summarizes essential scientific insights from four aspects: the origin and expansion of arid and semi-arid regions, the characteristics of climate change in these areas, the drivers of climate change in arid and semi-arid zones, and the consequences of climate change in such environments. Finally, six key directions for future research on climate change and its effects on the arid and semi-arid regions of China are proposed. This study included scientific references and could be used to inform further studies on climate change and its impacts on the arid and semi-arid areas of China.

     

/

返回文章
返回