地球系统模式和数值模拟研究

Research on Earth System Models and numerical simulations

  • 摘要: 地球系统是将大气、陆地、海洋、冰冻圈、土壤和岩石圈以及其中的生物视为一个整体,由一系列相互作用过程联系起来的复杂非线性的多重耦合系统。地球系统模式(ESM)是描述这一复杂耦合系统的数学物理模式。ESM已超越气候系统模式对大气、陆地和海洋状态的物理描述,故不仅可用来做天气和气候预测,还可以研究环境和生态系统的演变过程,研究人类活动对气候和生态环境的影响,以及研究人类调控自然界工程的合理或最优的方案。概述了“地球系统模式”提出和研究的一些历史、地球系统模式的构成;简介了中国科学院地球系统模式(CAS-ESM)的一些主要特点,以及数值模拟的一些主要研究成果和应用;最后提出进一步发展的一些问题。

     

    Abstract: The Earth system is a complex, nonlinear, and highly coupled system that integrates the atmosphere, land, ocean, cryosphere, lithosphere, and biosphere through various physical, chemical, and biological processes. The Earth System Model (ESM) is an advanced mathematical–physical representation of this intricate system. It extends beyondthe traditional climate system models that focus primarily on the physical representation of atmospheric, terrestrial, and oceanic states to encompass environmental and ecological dynamics. Consequently, ESMs are essential tools notonly for weather and climate prediction but also for studying environmental and ecological evolution, human-in-duced climate impacts, and optimizing strategies for climate and ecological management.

     

/

返回文章
返回