封国林, 曹鸿兴, 魏风英, 丑纪范. 2001: 长江三角洲汛期预报模式的研究及其初步应用. 气象学报, (2): 206-212. DOI: 10.11676/qxxb2001.021
引用本文: 封国林, 曹鸿兴, 魏风英, 丑纪范. 2001: 长江三角洲汛期预报模式的研究及其初步应用. 气象学报, (2): 206-212. DOI: 10.11676/qxxb2001.021
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Feng Guolin, Cao Hongxing, Wei Fengying, Chou Jifan. 2001: ON AREA RAINFALL ENSEMBLE PREDI-CTION AND ITS APPLICATION. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, (2): 206-212. DOI: 10.11676/qxxb2001.021
Citation: Feng Guolin, Cao Hongxing, Wei Fengying, Chou Jifan. 2001: ON AREA RAINFALL ENSEMBLE PREDI-CTION AND ITS APPLICATION. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, (2): 206-212. DOI: 10.11676/qxxb2001.021
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长江三角洲汛期预报模式的研究及其初步应用

ON AREA RAINFALL ENSEMBLE PREDI-CTION AND ITS APPLICATION

    摘要
  • 摘要: 在短期自忆气候模式的基础上,着重考虑了区域性降水特点,组合均生函数时序模型,构造了区域降水预报模式。以降水预报为实例,计算表明,它能滚动制作月、季、年降水预报,尤其对汛期(6～8月)降水预报,具有相当好的预报能力。

     

    Abstract: Based on the short-range self-memorial climatic model and area rainfall charact eristics, an area rainfall ensemble prediction model is built, which combines mean-generating function model. This model is used to give the hindcast sof the precipitation in month, season and year, and it s forecast effect is to tally superior to the other climatic models.

     

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