孙健, 赵平. 2003: 用WRF与MM5模拟1998年三次暴雨过程的对比分析. 气象学报, (6): 692-701. DOI: 10.11676/qxxb2003.070
引用本文: 孙健, 赵平. 2003: 用WRF与MM5模拟1998年三次暴雨过程的对比分析. 气象学报, (6): 692-701. DOI: 10.11676/qxxb2003.070
Sun Jian, Zhao Ping. 2003: SIMULATION AND ANALYSIS OF THREE HEAVY RAINFALL PROCESSES IN 1998 WITH WRF AND MM5. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, (6): 692-701. DOI: 10.11676/qxxb2003.070
Citation: Sun Jian, Zhao Ping. 2003: SIMULATION AND ANALYSIS OF THREE HEAVY RAINFALL PROCESSES IN 1998 WITH WRF AND MM5. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, (6): 692-701. DOI: 10.11676/qxxb2003.070

用WRF与MM5模拟1998年三次暴雨过程的对比分析

SIMULATION AND ANALYSIS OF THREE HEAVY RAINFALL PROCESSES IN 1998 WITH WRF AND MM5

  • 摘要: 使用NCAR和NOAA的新一代中尺度模式WRF(Weather Researchand Forecast)和UCAR/PSU的MM5(v3)模式,对1998年发生在中国的三次强降水过程,即5月的1次华南暴雨过程,7月初的1次淮河流域暴雨过程和7月下旬的1次长江流域暴雨过程进行了数值模拟。模拟结果表明,WRF模式能够成功模拟这几次不同性质的降水过程;与MM5对比,WRF更好地模拟了引起这几次降水过程中的主要天气系统的位置和移动过程,从而使WRF模拟的降水落区好于MM5。但在这几次过程中WRF模拟的降水都较MM5为小,也小于实况值,分析可见,WRF模拟的垂直速度明显小于MM5的模拟结果,这可能是导致模拟的降水偏小的原因之一。

     

    Abstract: Numerical simulations are made with the newgeneration numerical model WRF(Weather Research and Forecast)and MM5 on three typical heavy rainfall processes happened in 1998.The three heavy rainf all processes happened respectively over South China in May,over Huaihe reach at the beginning of July and over Yangtze river reach at the end of July.It is clear that the different results of the newmeso scale model WR Fcan successfully simulate the rainfal processes which have different characteristic.And to all these three processes,WRF makes much better simulations than MM5,not only about the distribution of the precipitation,but also about the major weather systems.In all these processes,the movement of the major weather systems is simulated by WRF successfuly,such as in the first process happened over South China,the cold air stream came from the North China and a vortex over the South China are both reproduced correctly by the model,and this good reproduction of the weather pat terns could also be seen in the two other heavy rainf all process.It is clear that this is the main reason that WRF makes the bet ter simulation of the distribution of the precipit ation.But unfortunately,the maximum values of the precipitation center are much less than the results of MM5,and also less than the observations.From the numerical results,wefound that the respectively smal vertical velocity simulated by WRF can be considered as the major fact or for the small precipitation.

     

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