中国干旱半干旱区气候变化及影响研究百年进展

Century Progress of Climate Change and Its Impact Research in Arid and Semi-arid Regions of China

  • 摘要: 我国干旱半干旱区占国土总面积的三分之一以上,是全球气候变化敏感区和脆弱区。百年以来针对区域气候变化及其影响已开展了大量研究工作,但由于研究视角不同,结论比较分散,亟需通过系统的总结归纳,形成相对系统和完整的科学认识。为此,本文基于百年以来我国干旱半干旱区气候变化及其影响研究的文献资料,从研究资料、研究方法和研究对象三个方面归纳梳理了区域气候变化及影响研究的发展历程,从干旱半干旱区的形成及扩缩;干旱半干旱区气候变化特征;干旱半干旱区气候变化的驱动因子以及干旱半干旱区气候变化的影响等四个方面总结凝练了一些比较重要的科学认识。并在此基础上,提出了干旱半干旱区气候变化及影响研究的未来六个重点方向。该文对今后深入推进和开展我国干旱半干旱区气候变化及影响问题研究具有重要科学参考意义。

     

    Abstract: The arid and semi-arid regions in China are extremely sensitive and fragile areas, accounting for more than one-third of the total land area. A large amount of research has been conducted over the past century on climate change in arid and semi-arid regions of China. Currently, it is urgent to form a relatively systematic and complete scientific understanding through systematic summarization and induction, and further condense some important scientific consensus. Therefore, based on the literature on climate change and its impacts in arid and semi-arid regions of China over the past century, this article summarizes and sorts out the development process of regional climate change and its impacts research from three aspects: research data, research methods, and research objects. In addition, some important scientific understandings have been summarized and condensed from four aspects: the formation and area changes of arid and semi-arid regions, the characteristics of climate change in arid and semi-arid regions, the driving factors of climate change in arid and semi-arid regions, and the impact of climate change in arid and semi-arid regions. On this basis, six key directions for future research on climate change and its impacts in arid and semi-arid regions of China were proposed. This article will have important scientific significance for further promoting and conducting research on climate change and its impacts in arid and semi-arid regions of China in the future.

     

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